Anthony W's Blog

London Property Market Update – June 2025

Written by Anthony Wozniak | Jun 19, 2025 10:42:12 AM

1. Average Prices Climb Further

April saw London property prices jump a surprising 2.6% month‑on‑month helping push the annual growth to 3.3%, with the average price now around £567,000, the highest in over two years . Some boroughs saw annual rises above 10% (Lewisham +10.3%, Bromley +9.8%) whereas pockets like Hammersmith & Fulham dropped (‑11%).

 

2. Rental Market Surge & Affordability Strains

London’s rental sector boomed in May, with a 35% surge in demand and 9% more listings, though rental affordability continues to cause strain.

 

3. Prime & High-End Markets Cooling

  • Prime London (properties over £5 million) saw a sharp slowdown: transactions down ~36%, under‑offers down ~22%, while listings spiked +12%.
  • New inheritance tax rules targeting non-domiciled homeowners triggered a 35.8% drop in high-end sales versus last year.

 

4. Stamp Duty Shake-Up Creates Volatility

April’s SDLT reforms caused a swift dip in buyer activity and house prices nationwide dropped 2.8% that month. However, “spring rebound” sentiment is evident: Nationwide reported April’s effective reversal (+0.5%), and Garrington noted renewed buyer confidence into June.

 

5. Interest Rates & Mortgage Costs Cooling

Post-Bank of England cuts (4.25%), mortgage offers have improved, with some lenders offering sub‑4% rates boosting purchaser confidence. Analysts (Knight Frank, Zoopla, Capital Economics) forecast 3–5% price growth by end‑2025.

 

6. Policy & Regulatory Drivers

  • Leasehold & rent reforms underway: 2024 Leasehold & Freehold Reform Act and Renters' Rights Bill aim to give tenants more rights and reduce landlord biases.
  • Affordable housing momentum: Experts like Shaun Donovan advocate US-style tax-credit funding to increase supply.

7. Major Developments & Long-Term Projects

  • One Nine Elms, a 58-storey mixed-use tower with 334 homes and luxury hotel, reached completion in 2024.
  • Brent Cross Town, a £4.5 bn regeneration in Cricklewood, nears first residents in 2025, promising 6,700 homes plus workspace.

Market Mood: Calibrating Confidence

  • Mainstream buyers: Seizing lower mortgage costs, increased listings, and avoidance of early‑year tax rush.
  • Prime/ultra‑prime investors: Taking a break amid tax changes and cautious global capital flows.
  • Renters: Feeling squeezed as rental activity booms - all while reforms promise future protection.

Despite volatility from tax reforms, stamp duty changes, and policy shifts, underlying fundamentals—lower borrowing costs, solid demand, regional price diversity—suggest progressive stabilisation. The market looks poised for 2–4% annual price growth through 2025, with more upbeat sentiment seen in early summer.

Key Takeaways

Area Current Trend Outlook
Prices +2.6% m/m in April; high but uneven +3–4% by year-end
Prime Market Slow & cautious Stabilisation likely
Rentals Strong demand, affordability pressured Likely to remain tight
Buyers Benefit from better mortgage rates Renewed confidence
Policy Reforms remain a wild card Could shape mid-term trends

This is a dynamic market, influenced by policy, affordability, and global capital flows. Whether you're buying, selling, renting, or investing, London’s property scene requires strategic timing and local insight. Need deeper data on borough-level trends, rental yields, or upcoming projects? I can help!